Experts predict the entire country will remain on alert level 4 until health officials can rule out community transmission outside Auckland’s borders.
Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern will announce a change in the alert level at 3 p.m., after meeting with her cabinet ministers this afternoon.
It has already signaled Auckland and the Coromandel Peninsula will remain on alert level 4 for seven days, while the rest of the country has been ordered to stay at home for at least three days.
Professor Michael Baker, an epidemiologist, said the government did not know enough about the epidemic today to ease sanctions.
“The problem for the government is that they don’t really have the information to decide to take the rest of New Zealand out of Alert Level 4.
“I’m sure they’ll want to wait a few more days before reconsidering the decision, or maybe give it a whole week, just because they don’t know enough about it.”
He said it was not yet clear if the virus had spread beyond Auckland, but rapid code 19 testing and wastewater testing would clarify the picture in the coming days.
Baker said it is almost guaranteed that Tamaki Makurao will remain on alert level 4.
Michael Barnett, chief executive of the Auckland Chamber of Commerce, said the expansion of the lockdown would come as no surprise to the city’s business.
“I think a lot of quarantined hotels in Auckland have made it almost inevitable that there will be a community case and I think it’s an acceptance that it will happen soon.”
Barnett said the government quickly restored its wage subsidy and restarting aid payment schemes assured the business of going into lockdown.
The epidemic is currently confined to Auckland, with some South Islanders questioning why they are under Alert Level 4 restrictions.
Southland Mayor Gary Tong said it was a common view of only a minority of people in his area, but if the lockdown was extended today, people’s patience could begin to wane.
“There will be variations on how people feel, no doubt about it. For the most part, I would hope to follow the rules. We are all in it together.
“This tension has become a problem abroad and it has spread a lot. It’s a shame it’s here. The experts were expecting it to get here and it’s here. Let’s get this dirty.” Do your best to get rid of the thing. “
Baker spoke in support of the US Alliance, but said that maintaining some independence was important.
“We all want to get out of the lockdown as soon as possible and the fastest way out is to do it once and fix it. It’s a click but that’s what the evidence tells us.
“I think we can be more optimistic now that we will defeat this delta-variant epidemic very soon. There is no definite guarantee, but when you look at alternatives in Australia, they are struggling because of their It didn’t have a quick, decisive response. “
There are now over 100 places of interest.
Yesterday, Genome Continuity found that the current positive cases closely resemble those of a recent returnee from Sydney, who arrived on an organized flight to a red zone on August 7.
It was a promising cross-border link in which Covid 19 modeler Professor Sean Handy estimated that the scale of the outbreak could be much smaller than initially feared.
He expected the number of infected people in the community to spread when the first outbreak was detected, which could reach “several dozen”.
It was pending that Handy is running more numbers for an updated model, since then the numbers have returned like the initial predictions.
“The good news is that the later introduction date means the virus has been in the community for a short time. That means we’re probably not seeing many other unknown transmission chains.”
“However, when we look at the case numbers we’ve gotten so far, and when those people were potentially affected, we had a very, very fast spread over the last weekend, the weekend. ۔ “
Handy said it was unlikely that the government would reduce Alert Level 4 restrictions, given the long-standing possibility that people had contracted the virus and traveled across the country.
“I think we will have to wait a while until we can rule out transmission to other parts of the country.
“Certainly off the rails if we don’t see cases emerging in the South Island it can already be expected to come out of Alert Level 4, but given the potential we’re dealing with here in Auckland. We need to be careful about that approach. “
This is an official Cowade 19 alert.
All New Zealand. Coved 19 Alert is now at Level 4.
Alert levels will be assessed after 3 days for all areas except Auckland and Coromandel Peninsula, which are likely to remain at 4 levels for an initial period of 7 days.
A community case of Covid 19 has been identified.
Stay at home Where possible, follow the Alert Level 4 instructions. This will stop the spread of Covid 19 and save lives.
All are requested:
Wear a mask whenever you leave the house and keep a distance of 2 meters from others.
If you are sick, call your doctor or health line on 0800 358 5453 for a test.
Keep scanning QR codes whenever you leave your home.
Follow good hygiene – wash your hands often.
Services including supermarkets, pharmacies, clinics and petrol stations will remain open at Alert Level 4. Facial coverage is a must for all people – employees and customers – in businesses and services that operate at Level 4 on customer contact alerts.
Go to Alert Level 4 for more information. [the government website www.covid19.govt.nz]
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What he said – stay strong.