Experts say the government needs to prioritize more funding and health resources for South Auckland, which will remain New Zealand’s ongoing frontline in the fight against cowardice.
He says targeted community-led vaccinations, rapid screening and more resources for Middlemore Hospital are top priorities, and greater data transparency will be important.
Speaking to the Health Select Committee today, Cowed 19 modeler Dr Rodney Jones said the Delta variant had exploited a weakness in New Zealand.
“The lockdown is having an effect and the number of new cases can be expected to decrease, but with Delta, that’s what we don’t know is causing problems,” he said.
“We need to move away from the experience that the delta grows on inequality,” he said. “We must make sure that we now deploy spending and public health resources in South Auckland as this will be our front line in the fight against cowardice.
“Breeding time is only four days from the start of the individual, Index One, when they start influencing other people and so on. More movement downhill leaves them. Communities are very weak. “
He said South Auckland, which has a large Maori and Pacific population, would “remain our front line” and that this strategy would have to be specifically accounted for.
“This is the epidemic that we feared long ago in February 2020, because the different cultural and socio-economic settings of South Auckland made it very difficult. [more] Dealing with a challenging epidemic.
“You can’t leave a weakness. Cowade finds a way to exploit them, you need more and you leave a weakness if you don’t bring your minority communities together.”
Dr. John McDermott, executive director of Moto Economic and Public Policy Research, said that while other countries relied on contact tracing and had previously been successful in dealing with the virus, Delta was faster than many other countries’ systems. Was running from
“We have to learn from it fast and take it aboard and in fact our resources where the biggest threats are, and if they are in South Auckland for any reason, we need to implement those resources. “
“There are three things in terms of how things could have been, and still are, better managed,” Jones said.
“I think there has been an assumption that the lockdown has come to an end – the end really includes a whole range of strategies that we need to adopt now.
“When we ended up, we were the first country to end up. And, you know, we were the first to create a welfare state in the 1930s. I don’t think there are any examples that we can actually see.” “It’s special to us.”
Te Pūnaha Matatini Covid-19 Moderator Dr. Sean Handy said that Select Committee Modeling estimates that the time to reach elimination using lockdown should be increased by 30 to 50% of the population by increasing the level of vaccination to about half. Can
Jones felt that vaccine resources should be an immediate priority for South Auckland, and that vaccination efforts should follow a “bottom-up” process of working through communities.
“What we don’t want to do is get stuck in a few weeks and realize we’re losing important communities that are vulnerable.”
He said the government needs to work with community groups ahead of time to improve public health as well as vaccines.
“What we need to look at is how far we can achieve vaccination rates. We have to create this level of protection and that’s the most important thing, and then we have to understand that despite this level of protection, What effect does it have? “
He said that as a researcher, he has acquired a wealth of knowledge, especially in vaccination planning, especially considering the health inequalities that already exist in the system.
“We see ourselves as code analysts so you can’t account for the difference in our models but the way you think about it is important. The various challenges we face. ۔
‘Delta variety gives us no time’
Second, the testing toolkit should have more options, including bulk and faster antigens, and need to be approved for faster use.
“PCR tests give you the ultimate assurance but we need to prepare businesses for testing, we need communities, we need Murray to have the ability to test using rapid testing, bulk testing. Need. Accelerate approval, we need them now.
“What we need to understand is that this is the first of many epidemics that we are going to have, it is not the last, and so we need to learn from it and how to rely solely on PCR testing. People have to wait in cars for six hours, leaving us on our hind legs.
He said he was initially skeptical of rapid testing but that Cove 19 was an ongoing challenge and Delta needed a quick response.
“It’s ongoing – 2020 was very set-piece, Delta is dynamic – it’s about to leak, we have a series of epidemics going on and rapid testing should be an important part of the toolkit.
“Sometimes for the wrong negative, these are all the positive things you get quickly that make a difference.
“We have to find every case, and the Delta variety gives us no time.”
Funding for Middle Moore.
The third priority was to invest more in Middle Moore Hospital. Jones said Singapore is providing the best model for vaccination – with rates above 80% of the population – but they are still dealing with an outbreak of more than 300 cases.
“Vaccinators are doing much better in terms of hospital admissions and ICU use, but Singapore reminds us that we have a long way to go.”
“What we’re seeing in Singapore is that people were still going on oxygen, still ICU. We need to invest heavily in Middle Moore, we need more negative pressure wards. “
He said the hospital had received less investment over the years, and needed capacity to grow in the event of an outbreak.
Rich countries have the advantage of starting with a better starting point for more ICU beds and hospital beds. We need to change, “he said.
“Middlemore Hospital is one of the few resources. It is difficult to prioritize an area politically, but the cove is not going away, and we have been fighting it for some time.”
Jones said data based on the onset of symptoms led to more accurate modeling than positive test history.
He said that the Ministry of Health needs to share as much data as possible.
“I think transparency is incredibly important, and will lead to anchors, types, expectations and trust. I think we need a lot more transparency, we need really detailed data online from which people Accessibility, that individuals can model and access themselves. Understand it.
“It’s not something that is elite, it’s something we have to live with and the more intelligent people can build, and it comes through information.”
However, he disagreed on whether Standstone Cowed 19 could help.
“I will express my personal opinion. I think that from the emergency response to the response issued by the Ministry of Health, there is an argument that we will need to use different tools, and maybe an agency.
“Adding more layers can’t help if your strategy is wrong on the ground, so there are arguments for and against it.”
Handy said that sometimes the modeling reports went to the Prime Minister and the Cabinet Department before they were released to the public, and the researchers finally said when and how things were released.
“We try and move the government forward. Don’t always give them a head and make sure the ministers have a job to do … so that they understand what is happening.”