Cove 19 Lockdown: Another Level 4 Week ‘Not Too Long’ – Epidemiologist

Rod Jackson, a professor of epidemiology at the University of Auckland, says one week of level 4 restrictions is not enough time to control the Auckland Cove 19 Delta outbreak.

Professor Jackson said. Checkpoint The government’s decision on Monday was correct, “but I think they should have said: ‘Unless the Aucklanders are tightened, there will be at least two weeks.’

The Auckland area will remain in Level 4 lockdown until 11:59 pm on Tuesday, September 21. The government said its goal was to alert Auckland to Level 3 in principle.

The rest of the country will also be subject to Level 2 sanctions.

Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern is urging Aucklanders to stay in their bubbles. Professor Jackson said he thought people were breaking the law, which led to a steady rise in new cases.

“Delta is really a new disease. [We] Maybe he shouldn’t be called a coward anymore. It is much more contagious than the previous variants.

“If people follow the rules, we can knock it on the head, but six people are not following the rules.”

Professor Jackson said it was possible that the epidemic could be controlled in a week if people followed the rules, “but I’m a little disappointed.

“The good news today is that everyone is one. [of the new Covid-19 cases] Can be connected, so we know where they come from.

“It’s really good news, but there are some other people out there we don’t know about yet. And the thing about Delta is, it’s left to its own devices – and those mysterious things really They’re left to their own devices – one person, on average, affects six other people, and they affect six other people.

“So that’s … 1200 and at the same time something like the previous version became 16.

“It’s very different from last year … we have to deal with a new disease.”

Rapid antigen testing can help, Professor Jackson said, but the underlying problem is the potential satisfaction under lockdown.

“If you are about to leave home, act as if you have code 19, and everyone you come in contact with is code 19.

“Because the way we stop it and we can stop it on the tracks is to keep the affected people away from the uninfected people.

“It’s that simple. If we follow these rules, we can knock it off the head in two weeks, even a week.”

“For Aucklanders today, if you have something, your throat is tickling. If you are unwell, go and get tested.

Professor Jackson said. Checkpoint He believes Auckland can get rid of the epidemic. But there are only two things that can be done for Delta. “It’s lockdown and vaccination.”

Vaccination is the key to preventing such lockdowns in the future, he said.

He believed that 95% of the population aged 12 years or older needed to be vaccinated before the lockdown could be lifted.

Currently only 1.4 million people in New Zealand have received both doses of the Pfizer Covid 19 vaccine.

“We can get there, it’s not a big deal.

“We didn’t have terribly low rates when we started. We started late, but we had to start late because we had too much safety bar.

“Once we knew that vaccines were safe – and they were the best vaccines in the world, they were far safer than anything – now we need to do it as quickly as possible.

“I think we need 24/7 centers. We need to deliver the vaccine to the people, so I think we need mobile units.

Deputy Prime Minister Grant Robertson rejected the idea of ​​mobile vaccination units, saying they could be more likely to have vaccination issues or vaccine stock management issues.

Professor Jackson said the government knows the country needs up to 90 percent vaccination coverage.

“Danes, 60 years and older, he’s already 95. [percent].

“One hundred percent of all blacks have been vaccinated, and 97 percent of Coke Island adults have been vaccinated. We can get there.

“But how did they do it? They went to the people. And I think the message will reach the politicians very soon.

“I can see that a lot of pop-up centers can be a problem, but what’s wrong with mobile centers?

“You can set them up professionally. You can make sure they get the right refrigeration, everything.

“But I think the only way for us to reach 95 is to get it to the people. It’s not that people are anti-vaccinators. It’s a very small minority. It’s just for a lot of people. Don’t get it.

“They’ve never experienced Coved 19 themselves. Obviously I mean how many people in New Zealand have had it?”

“Very few, very few New Zealanders know anyone who had Code 19,” he said.

“Even very few know anyone who has died since Cowade 19, so for the average New Zealander, it’s still not a big deal. [vaccinations] For them.”


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